Bowie, TX 76230 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$237,097
−3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
87 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$110
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 84% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $65k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,827 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $110 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.9%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Bowie, TX 76230
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Montague County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nocona, TX 76255 | $226.2K | −1.2% | 98 |
| Alvord, TX 76270 | $484.6K | −1.6% | 100 |
| Saint Jo, TX 76265 | $273.7K | −0.4% | 65 |
| Forestburg, TX 76239 | $467.8K | −3.7% | 63 |
| Montague, TX 76251 | $369.2K | −2.4% | 93 |
| Ringgold, TX 76261 | – | – | 54 |