Wichita Falls, TX 76301 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 86
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Home Value
$81,570
−1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
86
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
71 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
80.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,022/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
6.3%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 12% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 4% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−38% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (86/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 19.8% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $30k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $281/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.5% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wichita County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita Falls, TX 76308 | $224.4K | +2.7% | 53 |
| Iowa Park, TX 76367 | $201.7K | +7.2% | 50 |
| Wichita Falls, TX 76306 | $142.9K | +3.7% | 81 |
| Wichita Falls, TX 76309 | $126.7K | −4.3% | 94 |
| Burkburnett, TX 76354 | $187K | +1.4% | 54 |
| Wichita Falls, TX 76302 | $190.9K | +2.0% | 29 |
| ZIP 76311 | – | – | – |
| Electra, TX 76360 | $85.8K | −1.7% | 35 |