Carlton, TX 76436 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 81
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Home Value
$380,674
+4.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
81
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Aug 2024
Days on Market
110 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Sep 2024
Mtg Payment as % of Income
59%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$102
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 4.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 100% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (81/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Sep 2024); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 59% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,394 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $102 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Comanche County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comanche, TX 76442 | $223.4K | +6.2% | 94 |
| De Leon, TX 76444 | $214.8K | +8.1% | 96 |
| Gustine, TX 76455 | $268.1K | +5.3% | 85 |
| Sidney, TX 76474 | – | – | 30 |
| ZIP 76452 | – | – | – |