Palo Pinto, TX 76484 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 77
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Home Value
$376,989
−1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
77
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
112 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$132
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 177% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (77/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $98k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,827 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $132 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Palo Pinto County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral Wells, TX 76067 | $207.2K | −1.3% | 89 |
| Graford, TX 76449 | $642K | +3.0% | 86 |
| Santo, TX 76472 | $420.2K | −1.7% | 33 |
| Gordon, TX 76453 | $392.6K | +1.8% | 73 |
| Strawn, TX 76475 | $316K | −2.5% | 97 |