Thornton, TX 76687 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 94
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Home Value
$340,699
−0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
120 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
14%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$75
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 14% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 154% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+16% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $85k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,246 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $75 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Limestone County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexia, TX 76667 | $141.6K | −1.2% | 99 |
| Groesbeck, TX 76642 | $211.2K | −1.6% | 95 |
| Mart, TX 76664 | $157.8K | −7.0% | 100 |
| Coolidge, TX 76635 | – | – | 79 |
| Kosse, TX 76653 | $225.1K | −1.7% | 97 |
| ZIP 76686 | – | – | 85 |
| Prairie Hill, TX 76678 | – | – | 72 |