Coleman, TX 76834 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$117,109
+14.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
126 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
5.2%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-2.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$137
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 14.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 61% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.8% below their final list price; 5% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,396 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $137 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Coleman County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Anna, TX 76878 | $183.6K | +0.6% | 68 |
| Novice, TX 79538 | – | – | 4 |
| Burkett, TX 76828 | – | – | 85 |
| Gouldbusk, TX 76845 | – | – | 33 |
| Voss, TX 76888 | – | – | 84 |
| Valera, TX 76884 | – | – | 87 |
| Rockwood, TX 76873 | – | – | 48 |
| Goldsboro, TX 79519 | – | – | – |