Brazoria, TX 77422 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 91
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Home Value
$259,534
−0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
91
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
8.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$215
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+9% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 45% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (91/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.5% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $71k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,901 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $215 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.8% to +7.5% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Brazoria County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pearland, TX 77584 | $385.1K | −0.7% | 39 |
| Iowa Colony, TX 77583 | $317.5K | −4.4% | 78 |
| Alvin, TX 77511 | $296.3K | −0.9% | 69 |
| Pearland, TX 77581 | $373.1K | 0.0% | 57 |
| Angleton, TX 77515 | $245.6K | −1.9% | 87 |
| Lake Jackson, TX 77566 | $274.2K | +0.8% | 77 |
| Manvel, TX 77578 | $439.5K | −2.5% | 72 |
| Freeport, TX 77541 | $223.4K | +1.1% | 100 |
| Clute, TX 77531 | $223.1K | +0.3% | 68 |
| Sweeny, TX 77480 | $242.5K | +1.2% | 78 |
| West Columbia, TX 77486 | $272.9K | +0.1% | 88 |
| Danbury, TX 77534 | $284.6K | −0.2% | 58 |
| Damon, TX 77430 | $381.2K | +2.4% | 100 |
| Danbury, TX 77577 | $294.5K | +1.0% | 51 |
| ZIP 77431 | – | – | – |