Pattison, TX 77423 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 75
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Home Value
$365,275
−2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,926/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-15%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$124
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 15% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 78% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+34% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.9% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $102k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,518 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $620/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $124 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.2% to +7.1% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Waller County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hempstead, TX 77445 | $287.7K | +0.2% | 98 |
| Waller, TX 77484 | $353.2K | −1.2% | 62 |
| Prairie View, TX 77446 | – | – | 40 |
| ZIP 77466 | – | – | 35 |