Runge, TX 78151 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$165,891
−4.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Aug 2023
Days on Market
84 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
87.7%
Jul 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
58%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 4.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 37% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 250% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+600% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 12.3% below their final list price (as of Jul 2025); 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 58% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,149 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.6% to +7.7% (80% range; middle estimate +0.7%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Karnes County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenedy, TX 78119 | $183.6K | −3.5% | 52 |
| Karnes City, TX 78118 | $194.4K | −0.3% | 49 |
| Hobson, TX 78117 | – | – | 23 |
| Gillett, TX 78116 | – | – | 72 |
| ZIP 78144 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 78111 | – | – | – |