Stockdale, TX 78160 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 76
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Home Value
$351,804
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
76
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
44.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
117.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
38%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$96
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 38% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 10% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 200% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+45% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (76/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (117.3% of list); 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $91k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,149 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $96 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.0% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wilson County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floresville, TX 78114 | $368K | −0.5% | 96 |
| La Vernia, TX 78121 | $502.2K | −0.3% | 81 |
| Pleasanton, TX 78113 | $423.9K | +5.9% | 55 |
| Floresville, TX 78147 | $246.9K | +0.2% | 100 |
| Sutherland Springs, TX 78161 | $301.7K | +1.8% | 50 |
| ZIP 78143 | – | – | – |