Vinton, TX 79821 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 48
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Home Value
$227,784
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
48
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
1.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$54
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 3% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−65% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (48/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.1% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $67k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $54 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.1%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in El Paso County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso, TX 79936 | $225.8K | +2.5% | 24 |
| El Paso, TX 79938 | $255.7K | +1.9% | 17 |
| El Paso, TX 79928 | $262.2K | +0.7% | 50 |
| El Paso, TX 79912 | $322.7K | +2.2% | 19 |
| El Paso, TX 79924 | $196.3K | +3.1% | 27 |
| El Paso, TX 79907 | $181.1K | +4.4% | 30 |
| Socorro, TX 79927 | $207.7K | +2.3% | 40 |
| El Paso, TX 79925 | $241.6K | +2.8% | 37 |
| El Paso, TX 79915 | $175.2K | +3.7% | 23 |
| El Paso, TX 79904 | $190.8K | +2.7% | 41 |
| El Paso, TX 79932 | $328K | +2.2% | 36 |
| El Paso, TX 79934 | $252.9K | +2.8% | 36 |
| El Paso, TX 79930 | $184.7K | +1.7% | 83 |
| El Paso, TX 79905 | $161.8K | +3.9% | 55 |
| El Paso, TX 79902 | $285.3K | +1.0% | 73 |
| El Paso, TX 79935 | $245.7K | +1.8% | 32 |
| El Paso, TX 79903 | $182K | +2.2% | 44 |
| San Elizario, TX 79849 | $183.5K | +2.0% | 11 |
| El Paso, TX 79835 | $224.8K | +4.5% | 23 |
| El Paso, TX 79911 | $399.1K | +2.3% | 29 |
| El Paso, TX 79901 | $135.2K | +4.1% | 55 |
| Clint, TX 79836 | $222K | +1.5% | 75 |
| El Paso, TX 79922 | $430.5K | +4.4% | 23 |
| El Paso, TX 79906 | – | – | 16 |
| Fabens, TX 79838 | $164.5K | +9.8% | 39 |
| ZIP 79908 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 79916 | – | – | – |
| Tornillo, TX 79853 | $189K | +8.4% | 60 |
| ZIP 79918 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 79920 | – | – | – |