Commerce City, CO 80022 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$464,891
−3.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
39%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,399/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
6.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$102
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 12% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 105% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list); 39% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $117k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,398 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $527/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $102 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Adams County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thornton, CO 80229 | $416.6K | −2.8% | 66 |
| Aurora, CO 80011 | $400.1K | −2.7% | 67 |
| Thornton, CO 80233 | $460K | −2.3% | 41 |
| Thornton, CO 80602 | $637.5K | −1.4% | 46 |
| Brighton, CO 80601 | $487.4K | −2.5% | 68 |
| Denver, CO 80221 | $444.6K | −3.0% | 70 |
| Westminster, CO 80031 | $498K | −2.2% | 62 |
| Federal Heights, CO 80260 | $394K | −3.5% | 67 |
| Thornton, CO 80241 | $506K | −2.2% | 57 |
| Westminster, CO 80234 | $514.1K | −3.0% | 72 |
| Lochbuie, CO 80603 | $500.1K | −2.4% | 64 |
| Westminster, CO 80030 | $433.1K | −2.4% | 68 |
| Commerce City, CO 80640 | $496.6K | −2.5% | 51 |
| Aurora, CO 80019 | $503.5K | −4.1% | 76 |
| Bennett, CO 80102 | $513.7K | −1.9% | 74 |
| Strasburg, CO 80136 | $529.7K | −3.0% | 66 |
| Byers, CO 80103 | $555.4K | −0.5% | 75 |
| Aurora, CO 80045 | – | – | – |
| Dupont, CO 80024 | – | – | 36 |