Parker, CO 80138 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$712,036
−1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,991/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
31%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$117
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 31% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 30% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+36% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.4% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $170k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,146 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,250/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $117 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Douglas County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker, CO 80134 | $668.9K | −1.5% | 62 |
| Highlands Ranch, CO 80126 | $734.2K | −1.9% | 44 |
| Castle Rock, CO 80104 | $604.7K | −1.0% | 71 |
| Castle Pines, CO 80108 | $864K | −0.6% | 71 |
| Highlands Ranch, CO 80129 | $665.3K | −1.8% | 49 |
| Castle Rock, CO 80109 | $649.2K | −1.5% | 60 |
| Highlands Ranch, CO 80130 | $676.1K | −1.8% | 51 |
| Lone Tree, CO 80124 | $784.5K | −2.3% | 38 |
| Littleton, CO 80125 | $717.7K | −2.4% | 69 |
| Larkspur, CO 80118 | $943.7K | −1.1% | 75 |
| Franktown, CO 80116 | $1M | +0.4% | 89 |
| Sedalia, CO 80135 | $929.3K | −0.2% | 100 |
| Louviers, CO 80131 | $532.9K | −1.0% | 93 |