Dillon, CO 80435 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 94
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Home Value
$822,157
−1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
89 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
57%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$3,081/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$180
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 14% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 131% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+48% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 57% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $184k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,522/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $180 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.0% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Summit County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breckenridge, CO 80424 | $1.2M | +1.4% | 95 |
| Silverthorne, CO 80498 | $872.7K | −1.7% | 96 |
| Frisco, CO 80443 | $964.3K | +2.4% | 93 |