Poncha Springs, CO 81242 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$567,978
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Jan 2026
Days on Market
107 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.0%
Jan 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-2.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$237
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 152% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+5% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.0% below their final list price (as of Jan 2026); 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $130k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $237 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.1% to +8.3% (80% range; middle estimate +1.2%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Chaffee County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salida, CO 81201 | $709.9K | +0.3% | 88 |
| Buena Vista, CO 81211 | $679.4K | +1.7% | 99 |
| Nathrop, CO 81236 | $697.8K | +3.5% | 98 |
| ZIP 81227 | – | – | 13 |
| Granite, CO 81228 | – | – | 14 |