Orchard City, CO 81410 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 93
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Home Value
$399,296
+2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
93
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
27%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$180
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 27% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 63% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−28% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (93/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.6% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $91k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $180 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Delta County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta, CO 81416 | $371.9K | +3.5% | 77 |
| Cedaredge, CO 81413 | $431.5K | +1.8% | 86 |
| Paonia, CO 81428 | $471.2K | +2.5% | 97 |
| Hotchkiss, CO 81419 | $472.5K | +2.0% | 98 |
| Cedaredge, CO 81418 | $377.8K | +2.6% | 95 |