Buffalo, WY 82834 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$419,493
+2.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
48%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
60%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$182
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 60% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 48% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.2% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 48% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $182 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Johnson County, WY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaycee, WY 82639 | $435.8K | +3.2% | 96 |
| ZIP 82640 | – | – | – |