Salt Lake City, UT 84105 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 46
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Home Value
$722,366
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
46
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
46 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
51%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
50%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,944/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$259
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 1% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−11% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (46/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 51% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 50% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $165k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,322 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,184/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $259 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes. Earthquakes aren't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.9% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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