Fillmore, UT 84631 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 91
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Home Value
$355,966
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
91
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
125 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
37%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
67%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$152
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 67% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 142% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (91/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 37% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $152 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Millard County, UT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta, UT 84624 | $348.3K | +2.6% | 98 |
| Hinckley, UT 84635 | $296.3K | +2.2% | 55 |
| Oak City, UT 84649 | – | – | 45 |
| Sevier, UT 84637 | $338.3K | +1.9% | 28 |
| Holden, UT 84636 | – | – | 49 |
| Scipio, UT 84656 | – | – | 46 |
| Leamington, UT 84638 | – | – | 21 |
| Meadow, UT 84644 | – | – | 67 |
| Lynndyl, UT 84640 | – | – | 13 |
| Garrison, UT 84728 | – | – | 19 |