Reserve, NM 87830 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 4
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Home Value
$205,029
+10.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
4
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Feb 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
47%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$679
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 10.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 68% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−43% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (4/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.3% below their final list price (as of Feb 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 47% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $679 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.5% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Catron County, NM
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Datil, NM 87821 | $201.6K | +8.8% | 69 |
| Glenwood, NM 88039 | – | – | 20 |
| Quemado, NM 87829 | $250.8K | +13.1% | 92 |
| Luna, NM 87824 | – | – | 29 |
| Pie Town, NM 87827 | $246.3K | +16.3% | 100 |
| Aragon, NM 87820 | – | – | 75 |