Truth or Consequences, NM 87901 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 84
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Home Value
$165,102
+5.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
84
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Jun 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
37%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$235
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+10% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 29% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+21% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (84/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Jun 2026); 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 37% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $42k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $235 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.5% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Sierra County, NM
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elephant Butte, NM 87935 | $239.9K | +2.1% | 95 |
| Williamsburg, NM 87942 | $183.3K | +0.4% | 57 |
| Arrey, NM 87930 | – | – | 1 |
| Caballo, NM 87931 | $198.7K | +4.7% | 94 |
| Monticello, NM 87939 | – | – | 41 |
| Hanover, NM 88042 | $245.3K | +7.0% | 50 |
| Winston, NM 87943 | – | – | 12 |
| Derry, NM 87933 | – | – | 70 |