Las Vegas, NV 89121 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$353,115
−2.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
43%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,306/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
71%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$118
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 71% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 28% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−16% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $80k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $698/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $118 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Las Vegas, NV 89121
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.