Fallon, NV 89406 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 40
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Home Value
$394,768
+2.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
40
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
52 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
31%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,581/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
45%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$190
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 45% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (40/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 31% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $92k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,138 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $720/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $190 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.1% to +12.2% (80% range; middle estimate +5.1%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Churchill County, NV
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernley, NV 89408 | $403K | +3.5% | 15 |
| ZIP 89496 | – | – | – |