Riverside, CA 92508 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 29
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Home Value
$761,646
+1.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
29
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
27%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
37%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,900/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$265
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 37% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (29/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.1% below their final list price; 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 37% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $181k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,798 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,616/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $265 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.2% to +11.1% (80% range; middle estimate +4.1%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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