Sacramento, CA 95818 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 35
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Home Value
$708,408
+2.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
35
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
38 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
34%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,867/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$109
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 2.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 13% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.6% of list); 34% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $166k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,638 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,277/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $109 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.0% to +10.3% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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