Kahului, HI 96732 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$1M
−2.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
101 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
65%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
39%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$430
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 65% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−5% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 65% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $221k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,892 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $430 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.8% (80% range; middle estimate +0.7%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Maui County, HI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wailuku, HI 96793 | $910.9K | −2.1% | 86 |
| Kihei, HI 96753 | $988.5K | −7.4% | 98 |
| Lahaina, HI 96761 | $963.8K | −7.2% | 98 |
| Makawao, HI 96768 | $1.1M | −0.9% | 67 |
| Haiku, HI 96708 | $1.3M | −1.2% | 92 |
| Kula, HI 96790 | $1.3M | +1.9% | 96 |
| Kaunakakai, HI 96748 | $385.3K | −5.1% | 81 |
| Lanai City, HI 96763 | $700.6K | −0.1% | 76 |
| Paia, HI 96779 | $1.3M | −1.1% | 81 |
| Hoolehua, HI 96729 | $449.3K | −1.4% | 88 |
| Hana, HI 96713 | $772.5K | +0.7% | 93 |
| Kaunakakai, HI 96757 | $409.2K | +2.0% | 28 |
| Maunaloa, HI 96770 | $305.1K | −11.2% | 97 |