Warren, OR 97053 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 87
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Home Value
$639,458
+1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
87
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
11.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
67 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$157
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 82% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+55% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (87/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.5% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $148k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $157 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.8% to +7.5% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Columbia County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Helens, OR 97051 | $423K | −0.6% | 68 |
| Scappoose, OR 97056 | $483.3K | −1.3% | 68 |
| Rainier, OR 97048 | $417.8K | +0.8% | 84 |
| Clatskanie, OR 97016 | $405.9K | +0.6% | 91 |
| Vernonia, OR 97064 | $389.5K | −1.8% | 77 |
| Columbia City, OR 97018 | $476.7K | −1.4% | 75 |
| Deer Island, OR 97054 | $534.4K | +0.7% | 52 |