Lafayette, OR 97127 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$456,774
−0.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
42 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
64%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$107
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 135% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.4% of list); 64% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $108k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,160 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $107 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.0% to +8.3% (80% range; middle estimate +1.3%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Yamhill County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| McMinnville, OR 97128 | $479.8K | −1.2% | 75 |
| Newberg, OR 97132 | $528.3K | −1.2% | 45 |
| Sheridan, OR 97378 | $395.5K | −0.5% | 50 |
| Dayton, OR 97114 | $527.2K | −1.0% | 79 |
| Carlton, OR 97111 | $545K | +0.5% | 70 |
| Dundee, OR 97115 | $575.1K | −0.6% | 69 |
| Amity, OR 97101 | $572.7K | +1.5% | 88 |
| Willamina, OR 97396 | $358.9K | +0.6% | 61 |
| Yamhill, OR 97148 | $615.8K | +1.4% | 83 |
| Grand Ronde, OR 97347 | $457.6K | +2.5% | 20 |