Monmouth, OR 97361 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$475,128
+1.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
42 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
49%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,447/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$155
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 14% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 49% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $115k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,349 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,419/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $155 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (69% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.4% to +9.9% (80% range; middle estimate +2.9%), chance of a rise 69%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Polk County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salem, OR 97304 | $499.7K | +0.9% | 71 |
| Dallas, OR 97338 | $476.2K | +1.5% | 87 |
| Independence, OR 97351 | $427.6K | +2.2% | 43 |
| Falls City, OR 97344 | $362.4K | +0.5% | 38 |
| Rickreall, OR 97371 | $761.5K | +2.6% | 43 |