Madison County, FL housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
• Prices. Home values are down 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,053 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $261 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.7% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Madison County, FL