Madison, FL 32340 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 89
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Home Value
$184,250
−4.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
89
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
105 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
52%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$248
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 52% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 4.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 28% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (89/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.1% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $248 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.5% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Madison County, FL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville, FL 32331 | $222.4K | +2.3% | 69 |
| Lee, FL 32059 | $255.6K | −2.0% | 91 |
| Pinetta, FL 32350 | $276.9K | 0.0% | 27 |