Bonneville County, ID housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 85
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Home Value
$402,040
+1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
85
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,410/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$133
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 6% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 63% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (85/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,245 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $931/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $133 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.3% to +10.1% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Bonneville County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Falls, ID 83401 | $400.1K | +0.7% | 79 |
| Idaho Falls, ID 83402 | $366.1K | +2.1% | 86 |
| Idaho Falls, ID 83404 | $415.4K | +1.8% | 56 |
| Ammon, ID 83406 | $430.2K | +1.3% | 67 |
| Iona, ID 83427 | $437.6K | +2.2% | 8 |
| Ririe, ID 83443 | $372.4K | −3.6% | 5 |
| Victor, ID 83428 | $406.4K | +1.5% | 97 |
| Idaho Falls, ID 83454 | $351.6K | +0.9% | 13 |
| Swan Valley, ID 83449 | $543.4K | +2.0% | 43 |
| Freedom, WY 83120 | – | – | 24 |
| Wayan, ID 83285 | – | – | 48 |