Montgomery County, KS housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+5% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
• Prices. Home values are up 7.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 43% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+25% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (73/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $34k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,030 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $162 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +5.0%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Montgomery County, KS