Neosho County, KS housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 43
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Home Value
$114,409
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
43
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
67 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$159
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 32% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (43/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.4% below their final list price; 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $35k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,824 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $159 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +5.0%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Neosho County, KS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chanute, KS 66720 | $101.7K | +6.0% | 79 |
| Erie, KS 66733 | $138.5K | +5.4% | 12 |
| Thayer, KS 66776 | $190.5K | +8.3% | 17 |
| Saint Paul, KS 66771 | $167.9K | +1.9% | 23 |
| Galesburg, KS 66740 | – | – | 2 |
| Stark, KS 66775 | – | – | 9 |