Pearl River County, MS housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 79
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Home Value
$214,865
+1.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
79
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
64 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,210/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
19%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$363
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 19% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 22% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $57k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,488 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $220/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $363 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Pearl River County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picayune, MS 39466 | $195.1K | +1.8% | 69 |
| Carriere, MS 39426 | $255.3K | +3.2% | 69 |
| Poplarville, MS 39470 | $208.2K | +0.4% | 65 |