Carriere, MS 39426 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 69
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Home Value
$255,279
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
69
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-3.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$374
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 15% below the 2017-19 norm, still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (69/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.1% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,488 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $374 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pearl River County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picayune, MS 39466 | $195.1K | +1.8% | 69 |
| Poplarville, MS 39470 | $208.2K | +0.4% | 65 |