Sherman County, TX housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 91
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Home Value
$171,339
+5.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
91
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
50 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
May 2024
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$85
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 5.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 75% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (91/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.4% below their final list price (as of May 2024); 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $85 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Sherman County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunray, TX 79086 | $147.3K | +9.7% | 76 |
| Stratford, TX 79084 | $169.5K | +6.1% | 91 |
| Texhoma, TX 73960 | – | – | 16 |