Dallam County, TX housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$158,765
+5.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
55 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
6.9%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2023
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$97
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 5.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 40% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price (as of Aug 2023); 7% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $97 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Dallam County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalhart, TX 79022 | $200.9K | +6.3% | 91 |
| Texline, TX 79087 | – | – | 71 |
| ZIP 79051 | – | – | – |