Palmer, MA 01069 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 12
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Home Value
$342,896
+3.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
12
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
32 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 48% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+80% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (12/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.5% of list); 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $95k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,513 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.2% to +11.1% (80% range; middle estimate +4.1%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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