Wilbraham, MA 01095 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 10
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Home Value
$487,186
+5.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
10
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
41 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$106
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 51% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (10/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (103.5% of list); 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $131k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $106 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.0% to +12.3% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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