Madison, NH 03849 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 41
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Home Value
$452,645
+5.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
41
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$149
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 39% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+14% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (41/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $114k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $149 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Carroll County, NH
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfeboro, NH 03894 | $649.3K | +3.6% | 64 |
| Moultonborough, NH 03254 | $719.4K | +3.5% | 34 |
| Wakefield, NH 03872 | $477.8K | +4.4% | 49 |
| Conway, NH 03813 | $435.8K | +3.4% | 58 |
| Albany, NH 03818 | $433.5K | +2.7% | 73 |
| Conway, NH 03860 | $495.9K | +2.6% | 63 |
| Ossipee, NH 03814 | $455.2K | +3.0% | 86 |
| Ossipee, NH 03864 | $412K | +3.8% | 50 |
| Effingham, NH 03882 | $338K | +3.0% | 48 |
| Tamworth, NH 03886 | $390.1K | +7.0% | 54 |
| Tuftonboro, NH 03816 | $589.2K | +5.3% | 56 |
| Freedom, NH 03836 | $467.1K | +8.2% | 16 |
| Sandwich, NH 03227 | $576.6K | +1.1% | 9 |
| Wakefield, NH 03830 | $518.7K | +4.0% | 34 |
| Bartlett, NH 03845 | $508.6K | +0.6% | 34 |
| Livermore, NH 03812 | $446.5K | −0.2% | 49 |
| Tamworth, NH 03817 | $328.7K | +7.4% | 52 |
| Madison, NH 03875 | $490.7K | +2.4% | 87 |
| Bartlett, NH 03838 | $468.2K | +0.8% | 14 |
| Jackson, NH 03846 | $643.4K | +5.9% | 60 |
| Tuftonboro, NH 03853 | $902.1K | +3.3% | 71 |
| ZIP 03832 | – | – | 10 |
| ZIP 03850 | – | – | 71 |
| Sandwich, NH 03259 | $519.5K | +1.7% | 15 |
| South Tamworth, NH 03883 | – | – | 100 |
| Ossipee, NH 03890 | $373.3K | +6.2% | 8 |
| ZIP 03847 | – | – | 35 |
| Wonalancet, NH 03897 | – | – | 9 |