Holden, ME 04429 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$353,819
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
95 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
12%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$120
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 12% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 55% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−31% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.0% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $89k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,183 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $120 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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