Southwest Harbor, ME 04679 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 88
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Home Value
$630,666
+9.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
97 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
27%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
89.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
77%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
49%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$110
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 49% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 9.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 70% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.9% below their final list price; 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 77% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $151k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $110 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.9% to +13.4% (80% range; middle estimate +6.4%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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