Greenwich, CT 06870 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 0
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Home Value
$2.7M
+15.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
0
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
18 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
7.7%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
107.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
74%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$8,147/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
51%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$148
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 51% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 15.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 74% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (0/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (107.8% of list); 8% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 74% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $614k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,601 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $7,214/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $148 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +14% over the next 12 months (85% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.1% to +14.2% (80% range; middle estimate +7.1%), chance of a rise 85%, of a 5%+ drop 5%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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