Albany, NY 12211 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 1
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Home Value
$487,938
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
1
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
15 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
5.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$57
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+5% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 74% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−40% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (1/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.4% of list); 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $130k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,258 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $57 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +14% over the next 12 months (85% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.4% to +13.9% (80% range; middle estimate +6.8%), chance of a rise 85%, of a 5%+ drop 5%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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