Utica, NY 13502 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 36
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$211,843
+7.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
36
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,544/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
55%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$66
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 55% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 28% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−32% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (36/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $66 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.2% to +13.1% (80% range; middle estimate +6.1%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Utica, NY 13502
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.