Belcamp, MD 21017 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 13
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Home Value
$287,255
−0.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
13
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
17 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,858/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$49
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 48% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−35% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (13/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $72k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $49 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Harford County, MD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bel Air, MD 21014 | $450.3K | +1.3% | 20 |
| Abingdon, MD 21009 | $373.6K | −0.1% | 17 |
| Bel Air, MD 21015 | $483.9K | +0.9% | 22 |
| Aberdeen, MD 21001 | $347.2K | −0.1% | 24 |
| Edgewood, MD 21040 | $264.1K | +0.1% | 15 |
| Havre de Grace, MD 21078 | $408.5K | +0.6% | 34 |
| Forest Hill, MD 21050 | $506.6K | +1.8% | 28 |
| Joppa, MD 21085 | $370.5K | +0.5% | 33 |
| Fallston, MD 21047 | $571.1K | +2.2% | 23 |
| Jarrettsville, MD 21084 | $552.7K | +3.9% | 3 |
| Street, MD 21154 | $547.9K | +4.2% | 21 |
| Whitehall, MD 21161 | $567.4K | +3.1% | 8 |
| Pylesville, MD 21132 | $555.4K | +3.6% | 2 |
| Churchville, MD 21028 | $543.8K | +3.1% | 32 |
| Darlington, MD 21034 | $453.9K | +4.2% | 5 |
| Whiteford, MD 21160 | $448.1K | +4.6% | 6 |
| ZIP 21005 | – | – | – |
| Gunpowder, MD 21010 | – | – | – |
| Perryman, MD 21130 | – | – | 6 |