Havre de Grace, MD 21078 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 34
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Home Value
$408,505
+0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
34
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
39 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,707/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-0.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$66
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−1% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 3% below the 2017-19 norm, close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (34/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.6% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $102k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $838/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $66 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.1%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Harford County, MD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bel Air, MD 21014 | $450.3K | +1.3% | 20 |
| Abingdon, MD 21009 | $373.6K | −0.1% | 17 |
| Bel Air, MD 21015 | $483.9K | +0.9% | 22 |
| Aberdeen, MD 21001 | $347.2K | −0.1% | 24 |
| Edgewood, MD 21040 | $264.1K | +0.1% | 15 |
| Forest Hill, MD 21050 | $506.6K | +1.8% | 28 |
| Joppa, MD 21085 | $370.5K | +0.5% | 33 |
| Fallston, MD 21047 | $571.1K | +2.2% | 23 |
| Jarrettsville, MD 21084 | $552.7K | +3.9% | 3 |
| Belcamp, MD 21017 | $287.3K | −0.3% | 13 |
| Street, MD 21154 | $547.9K | +4.2% | 21 |
| Whitehall, MD 21161 | $567.4K | +3.1% | 8 |
| Pylesville, MD 21132 | $555.4K | +3.6% | 2 |
| Churchville, MD 21028 | $543.8K | +3.1% | 32 |
| Darlington, MD 21034 | $453.9K | +4.2% | 5 |
| Whiteford, MD 21160 | $448.1K | +4.6% | 6 |
| ZIP 21005 | – | – | – |
| Gunpowder, MD 21010 | – | – | – |
| Perryman, MD 21130 | – | – | 6 |