Edgewater, MD 21037 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 11
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Home Value
$583,455
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
11
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
40 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$3,198/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
6.9%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$51
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+7% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 65% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−14% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (11/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.6% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $142k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,695 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $342/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $51 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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