Annapolis, MD 21405 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 0
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Home Value
$1.6M
+5.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
0
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.0 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
36 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Aug 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
71%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
60%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$46
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 60% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 100% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (0/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 71% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $379k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $46 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.7% to +12.6% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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